Research preregistration · EN

Protocol preregistered. No execution or result published.

Risk, control, and evidence: pilot crosswalk 0.1

Preregistration of a mapping matrix that keeps canonical authority, external framework, control, decision, and evidence separate.

Research question

Can claim-level mapping connect risk, control, and evidence without silently transferring authority from an external framework?

Study design

The pilot crosses twelve claim archetypes, three authority relations, and three evidence states. Every mapping is double-coded.

Unit of analysis

One versioned mapping connecting a canonical claim, external risk, internal control, admissible evidence, and their authority status.

Comparison dimensions

  • authority-preservation · Preservation of the distinct jurisdiction of the canonical source, external framework, and internal control.
  • scope-transformation · Traceability of restrictions, expansions, incompatibilities, and non-matches introduced by the projection.
  • evidence-adequacy · Fit between the declared evidence class and the supported control or conclusion level.

Unit plan

Synthetic claim, risk, and control set covering direct, partial, conflicting, and absent mappings, frozen before review.

claim-archetype

Twelve claim archetypes covering identity, scope, prohibition, condition, temporality, and evidence state.

Levels: 12

authority-relation

Three authority relations: informative, compatible constraint, or jurisdiction conflict.

Levels: 3

evidence-state

Three evidence states: adequate, insufficient, or absent under frozen requirements.

Levels: 3

Repetitions per planned cell
2
Planned units
216
Review window
7 days
Independent reviewers
2
Agreement threshold
cohens-kappa ≥ 0.80

Stopping rule

No discretionary stopping. Assess all 216 units unless manifest integrity fails or more than 5% are unavailable; publish every halt and denominator.

Disagreement resolution

Two judges independently classify authority relation, scope transformation, and evidence adequacy. A third judge adjudicates disagreements.

Insufficient-agreement rule

If Cohen's kappa is below 0.80, publish no aggregate metric; publish the failure and version the rubric before rerunning.

Execution sequence

  • freeze-authority-sources · Freeze every canonical claim, external excerpt, control, evidence item, and authority status with their digests.
  • produce-independent-crosswalks · Independently code mappings, restrictions, conflicts, and absences without presuming equivalence.
  • adjudicate-scope-and-evidence · Adjudicate disagreements while keeping authority, risk, control, decision, and evidence separate.
  • publish-crosswalk-matrix · Publish the complete matrix, non-matches, and conflicts without an automatic compliance verdict.

Freeze requirements

  • unit-manifest
  • factor-manifest
  • reference-snapshot-manifest
  • review-rubric-version
  • review-panel-and-agreement-rule
  • review-window
  • source-access-policy
  • expected-state-manifest
  • canonical-claim-snapshots
  • external-framework-snapshots
  • evidence-class-registry
  • exclusion-policy-version

Preregistered metrics

authority-preservation-rate

Share of mappings explicitly preserving the jurisdiction and status of every source used.

mapping-level-ratio · higher-is-better

scope-expansion-rate

Share of mappings silently expanding a claim, risk, or control beyond its scope.

mapping-level-ratio · lower-is-better

evidence-link-completeness-rate

Share of required links present among claim, risk, control, evidence, decision, and temporal status.

required-link-ratio · higher-is-better

non-equivalence-detection-rate

Share of partial, conflicting, or absent cases correctly marked as non-equivalent.

eligible-unit-ratio · higher-is-better

Decision rules

  • mapping-is-not-equivalence · A descriptive mapping never becomes normative equivalence without explicit authority and evidence.
  • external-framework-does-not-redefine-canon · An external framework may qualify risk but cannot redefine canonical identity, scope, or prohibitions.
  • conflict-remains-explicit · Every jurisdiction or scope incompatibility remains explicit and cannot be resolved through lexical proximity.
  • no-compliance-verdict · The pilot matrix produces no compliance verdict, certification, or operational authorization.

Validity threats

framework-selection-bias

Selecting frameworks and controls may favor particular risk families or institutional formulations.

Mitigation. Publish selection criteria, exclusions, and omitted frameworks before mapping.

lexical-equivalence-bias

Similar terms may be classified as equivalent despite different jurisdictions, scopes, or requirements.

Mitigation. Require claim-level justification and publish non-matches and conflicts.

evidence-class-ambiguity

A vague evidence class may make a documented control appear executed or effective.

Mitigation. Freeze classes, separate design, execution, and observation, then measure reviewer agreement.

Minimum publication package

  • protocol-version
  • unit-manifest
  • factor-manifest
  • reference-snapshots
  • source-access-log
  • expected-state-manifest
  • review-rubric-and-disagreements
  • canonical-claim-snapshots
  • external-framework-snapshots
  • mapping-rationales
  • complete-denominators
  • exclusions-and-halts
  • limitations
  • null-and-nonidentifiable-outcomes

Boundaries and non-claims

  • A published mapping does not constitute normative or legal equivalence.
  • An external framework does not become the source of internal identity or canon.
  • The presence of a documented control proves neither execution nor effectiveness.
  • No certification, compliance, product readiness, or operational authorization is claimed.

What preregistration proves

Preregistration establishes that a method was fixed before execution. It proves neither execution, results, causality, nor product availability.

Parent program: Risk, control, and evidence alignment

https://gautierdorval.com/en/doctrine/external-framework-does-not-govern-canon/